The U.S. visit of President Marcos Jr. New resulting in the new U.S., Philippines Defense Guidelines

From 30th of April to 4th of May 2023, an official visit of the Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. took place in the U.S. President Marcos' second visit was an opportunity to strengthen bilateral cooperation and a symbol of the Philippines' ships towards the United States.  

The most significant moment of the president Ferdinand Marcos Jr. visit was a meeting with President Joe Biden at the White House. Following the meeting, White House issued the guidelines saying its commitment to defend Philippines will apply to the maritime region, where Manila, for a year has seen incursions by Chinese ships. Extended U. S., mutual defence commitments will protect the Philippines coast guard, vessels, aircraft, and armed force in the case of an attack "anywhere in the South China Sea". 

The guidelines also include Philippines' defence modernization. Furthermore, they recognise “hybrid and irregular warfare and gray-zone tactics like using non-naval vessels such as fishing boats as an informal maritime militia”.

In the guidelines, China was not officially named as a threat, but was criticised for using grey-zone tactics in the South China Sea. In response, Beijing’s Foreign Ministry "firmly opposes any country's move to interfere in the South China Sea issue to harm China's territorial sovereignty and maritime rights and interests."

After many years of manoeuvring between China's regional economic expansion and the protection of the U.S. the Philippines has unequivocally sided with the U.S., thus strengthening U.S. position in the South China Sea. Therefore, the visit of the President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. has become a clear sign to other countries in the region regarding taking sides with China or the U.S.

Author:

Szymon Polewka is a student of international relations at the Jagiellonian University in Kraków, specializing in the history of international relations, the Eurasian region, DACHL countries, intercultural relations, and the energy sector. He is currently on a scholarship at the University of Bremen. He has gained experience organizing the 2020 Economic Forum in Karpacz and numerous youth and student associations, such as AIESEC or Koło Naukowe Wyzwań Zielonego Ładu.

This article was written as part of the statutory activities of the Polish think tank Warsaw Institute. If you appreciate the content prepared by our partner, we appeal to you for financial support for this non-profit organisation.

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SpaceX’s failure of an orbital launch puts the lunar crew landing mission’s 2025 deadline in jeopardy

On April 20, Starship and the Super Heavy booster merged for the first time, aiming for an orbital test of the Starship system. Although its initial success, Starship failed to separate from the booster, thus disintegrating in a fireball not seen on the Texas sky before.  

The orbital test flight surpassed many expectations. The vehicle flew nearly three minutes despite eight of its 33 rocket engines failing, reaching an altitude of almost 40 kilometres. At this point, Starship failed to separate from the booster, leading to a spectacular explosion. Despite the unsuccessful orbital launch, Space X hailed the success, which will allow future improvements to the Starship system.

SpaceX describes Starship as a "launch system able to carry up to 100 people on a long duration, interplanetary flights". Together with Starship tanker vehicles, which enable to refill the Starship spacecraft in low-Earth orbit prior to departing for the moon or Mars, SpaceX developed an infrastructure for future space exploration. SpaceX infrastructure is a part of Artemis's mission, aiming to return man (American) to the Moon.

The cooperation of SpaceX with NASA is a part of the new national space strategy, which gathered a pace during the Trumps administration which relies on the collaboration of the private sector with NASA. In 2019 SpaceX has won NASA's $2.9 Billion Contract to deliver American astronauts to the lunar surface. The Artemis mission responds to the Chinese Lunar Exploration Program (CLEP), also known as the Chang'e Project, which plans to take two astronauts to the lunar surface by around 2030. The latest SpaceX Starship explosion raises questions about the current assumptions of a US human-crewed mission reaching the moon by 2025.  

The reason for the 2025 year was more political rather than technical. The aggressive Goal was set during the Trump administration and was intended to be the culmination point of the second term of Trump. Moreover, the new approach represented by SpaceX has the potential to revolutionise the way we approach space discovery, being the biggest milestone since Apollo, even when the ambitious deadlines are not met. 

Szymon Polewka is a student of international relations at the Jagiellonian University in Kraków, specializing in the history of international relations, the Eurasian region, DACHL countries, intercultural relations, and the energy sector. He is currently on a scholarship at the University of Bremen. He has gained experience organizing the 2020 Economic Forum in Karpacz and numerous youth and student associations, such as AIESEC or Koło Naukowe Wyzwań Zielonego Ładu.

Author:

Szymon Polewka

International relations student at Jagiellonian University, specializing in the history of international relations, the Eurasian area, DACHL countries, intercultural relations and energy. He is currently on a scholarship at the University of Bremen. Szymon gained experience in the organization of the Economic Forum 2020 and in numerous youth organizations and study circles: AIESEC or the Scientific Circle of the Challenges of the Green Deal.

This article was written as part of the statutory activities of the Polish think tank Warsaw Institute. If you appreciate the content prepared by our partner, we appeal to you for financial support for this non-profit organisation.

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U.S. Lawmakers Stage War-Game Conflict over Taiwan with China

A U.S. congressional war game simulating a Chinese invasion of Taiwan was launched. Members of the House of Representatives' Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party played the role of presidential aides to test U.S. scenarios.

They used an open-source, unclassified war game developed by the Center for a New American Security, a think tank based in Washington. The United States has no formal ties with Taipei, but is its most important international backer and arms supplier. China's President Xi Jinping has ordered his military to be ready to invade Taiwan by 2027. In the game, Taiwan first makes intensified efforts to declare independence. The world reaches the brink of a U.S.-China war over Taiwan. China first deploys troops and materiel as well as brings in blood supplies for treating soldiers. Furthermore, Beijing imposes a de facto blockade on Taiwan that produces more than 60 percent of the world's semiconductors. The United States, in turn, introduces trade restrictions on China, a move that sends shockwaves across the world's economy. The lawmakers, who acted as security advisors, are tasked by the U.S. president to prevent Taiwan from being seized by China or defeating Beijing, in a different-case scenario.

The authors of the game did not include any channel of communication between the governments of the United States and China. So the players had to reach Chinese politicians through some U.S. companies based in China, including HP, Dell, and Apple.

In the war game, the conflict broke out on April 18, 2027. Beijing's missiles and rockets cascade down on Taiwan and on U.S. forces as far away as Japan and Guam, killing many soldiers on both sides of the simulated conflict.

The war game highlighted some diplomatic, military, and economic shortcomings. Alarmed and alienated allies in the war game leave Americans to fight almost entirely alone in support of Taiwan as they suffered from trade restrictions. In addition, Chinese diplomats warned world leaders against stepping into the war.

Taiwan exhausted its inventory of munitions. Consequently, sanctions triggered a global economic crisis while an economic blockade on China dislodged the global supply chain.

"We are well within the window of maximum danger for a Chinese Communist Party invasion of Taiwan, and yesterday's war game stressed the need to take action to deter CCP aggression and arm Taiwan to the teeth before any crisis begins," the House of Representatives' Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party, led by Republican Mike Gallagher said in a statement. The official added Washington must clear a $19 billion weapons backlog to Taiwan, also calling for enhanced joint military training and the reinforced U.S. military in the region.

Author: 

Dawid Krupa is a fourth-year law student at the Faculty of Law and Administration at Warsaw University. He has worked with various cultural institutions such as the POLIN Museum of the History of Polish Jews, the Warsaw Uprising Museum and the Forum for Dialogue Foundation. His interests include national politics, international relations, religious studies and gardening.

This article was written as part of the statutory activities of the Polish think tank Warsaw Institute. If you appreciate the content prepared by our partner, we appeal to you for financial support for this non-profit organisation.

More information:
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Whirlwind Tour of Pomerania

For Poles, Pomerania’s long northern coastline, which runs along the Baltic Sea, is its major attraction. The summer months see scores of families plunging into the sea, romantic couples holding hands at sunset and stressedout city folk taking advantage of the smaller, coastal resorts and spas.

Sea and (Shifting) Sand

Of all of the region’s celebrated seaside resorts, special mention must go to Łeba. This is a truly gorgeous and relaxing old fishing settlement, which boasts beaches, dunes and blue sky about as far as the naked eye can see. Despite its popularity, it retains a lovely, small ‘village’ feel, and never seems to be thronging and heaving with tourists.
Besides the obvious draw of the beach and water, make some time to take a trek to the Słowiński National Park to see the ‘shifting dunes’ (wydmy ruchome), also called the ‘walking dunes’. Creating a genuine desert landscape smack on the sea, the dunes consist of sand that has been thrown up from the sea by winds, and they peak at 42 meters in height and ‘walk’ between two and six meters annually, burying all that may get in their path. They are the world’s only such phenomenon on this kind of massive scale, and are a bizarre yet stunning sight to take in. If you are in the Pomerania region, seize this once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to see a ‘walking desert’.
If walking sand isn’t as attractive to you as the stationary stuff that can be stretched out upon, then rest assured: not all the beach towns have shifting sands. The fabulously-named Hel (yes, it is actually pronounced ‘Hell’) Peninsula is also very popular with Poles and tourists alike; with excellent rail connections to nearby Gdynia, it’s an easy place to reach for a day trip. Beaches stretch all along Hel’s northern tip, and are amazingly clean and quiet – with the exception of the more ‘touristy’ beaches close to the hotel and restaurant resorts themselves. These beaches are always packed and noisy; it’s well worth it to venture farther afield for the novel sensation of having (almost) an entire beach to yourself.

Gothic Castles

As soon as you move southwards away from the sea, Pomerania’s character and landscape changes quite dramatically. Thanks to his geographical location, this part of Poland has seen more than its fair share of invasions and occupations, as everyone from the Germans to the Danes had a crack at controlling the land. As such, mighty castles abound in Pomerania.
Undoubtedly, the most famous castle is Malbork, which is reputedly Europe’s largest Gothic castle, and is Unesco-listed. An easy day trip from Gdańsk, Malbork is at the most eastern side of Pomerania. In the summertime, it is overrun by tour buses and groups, but is worth visiting, despite this fact. Perched on the bank of the Nogat River, it is an awesome and awe-inspiring sight: built by the Teutonic Knights, it eventually became the residence of Polish kings. It retains its stately, regal air, and wears its enormous size and bulk lightly. Perhaps not as famous, but still very impressive, is the Castle of the Pomeranian Princes in Szczecin. The city of Szczecin is the largest city in north-western Poland, and is only 130 km away from Berlin; as such, the castle served an obvious defensive function in history. Today, it is the home of the Castle Museum – where a permanent exhibition of the castle’s fascinating and volatile history is displayed – as well as the auditorium for opera performances. Unlike Malbork, the castle itself is not Gothic in architecture or style: the Renaissance period largely influenced its creators and builders and so it is more plain, less towering and has a lovely bell tower, from which there are incredible views of the city.

Star-Gazing and Street Life

Almost directly north from Malbork is Frombork, a small town with a population of less than 3,000. It would escape most people’s notice, except for the fact that it was here that Mikołaj Kopernik (known more widely as Copernicus) conducted most of the research and observations to reach his amazing heliocentric theory. One of Poland’s favourite sons, Copernicus is buried in the town’s Cathedral, though nobody is sure of the exact location of his body. Despite its small size, Frombork is well-connected to the large city of Gdańsk: with four fast buses (they take about 2.5 hours) daily, and a few trains, a day trip to pay homage to the stargazer is hassle-free and convenient.
Now: Gdańsk itself. Of all the Baltic coast cities, it undoubtedly has the most character, the most impressive Old Town Rynek and the most bustling street life. The city’s most popular street is ul. Mariacka, the heart of cafe culture and trendy amber shopping; every few paces you stumble across another vendor offering you amber in some truly breathtaking settings. Ul. Mariacka also has numerous restaurants with outdoor patio seating, making it the perfect place to sit and have a glass of wine, admiring your new amber earrings and watching the street life go by… the perfect place to end a whirlwind tour of Pomerania.

Michelle Smith

World of Polish Vodka

Source: Discover Poland Magazine in the UK

"The three most astonishing things of the past half-century are the Blues, Cubism and Polish vodka." ~ Pablo Picasso

It used to be that vodka, the fierce clean alcohol, was thought of as a drink so rough it would start with an innocent tingle in the back of the throat and quickly build into a bitter, slow-burning inferno deep down in the belly. This international image of a cheap, gut-burning and brain-blasting booze, however, is long out of day, as today’s vodka producers in Poland and other countries bring the palate a smooth and sophisticated reinvention of the strong stuff. These days, vodka is heralding a new realm of luxury as consumers and connoisseurs all around the world are beginning to savour the unique quality, character and flavour of the distinctive Polish drink.

 
Polish or Russian?

Vodka isn’t only embedded in Polish national identity because some countrymen like to swill a quick shot morning, noon and night, but because its origins are rooted in Poland. Yes, that’s right: Poland is the birthplace of vodka. Or so the Poles say. Despite Poland and Russia claiming the 'invention’ of the spirit for themselves, historically, the genesis of the colourless liquor made from various grains such as barley, rye, or corn, is shrouded in mystery.

What is known is that the pure version of the clean spirit, containing 100% alcohol, made its way from the Arabs or the Italians (who called it aqua vitae, 'the water of life’) around the 9th century. It was credited at the time with powerful medical assets, being an effective antiseptic and trusty anesthetic potion, as well as a reliable fluid for cleaning cutlery and jewellery and curing foot odor. With the advent of distilling technology, sometime in the beginning of the 15th century, aqua vitae was purified to create a softer version suitable for consumption. The problem is that the Poles lay claim to first using the distilling process, while the Russians believe it was their big eureka-idea to take the edge off the vile spirit. Historians have no hard evidence to prove either country right or wrong, so for now, the truth is still out there.
 

In Poland, the first viable record of vodka appeared in 1405, in the small royal town of Sandomierz. Grain-based vodka production began in small quantities on a city-by-city basis, but by the end of the 16th century, the nation’s taste for the spirit was well-whetted. With the heartfelt endorsement of King Jan Olbrach, the distillery process started up on a vast scale, especially in and around the southern Polish city of Kraków and the Silesian town of Poznań, which had a total of 498 functioning 'spirit boilers’ by 1580. Vodka production soon became a high-profit venture which not only led to the country’s first taxing fees 'for cooking spirits in the villages’ but also large-scale exports to Denmark, Germany, England, Austria, Hungary, Ukraine and the Netherlands.

Poland continued to be swept by vodka-fever in the following centuries as technological advances allowed the creation of higher purity and higher alcohol content through multiple distillations, and potatoes superseded grains like rye , making vodka production even more profitable. The Soviet-inflicted prohibition-like period of the late-20th century led to the creations of several moonshine alcohols, but vodka remained a national staple. Today, vodka still reigns supreme on the local liquor landscape, accounting for over 90% of the spirits market consumption. Aside from Russians and other Central European countries, Poles knock back the most vodka in the world: over 260 million litres each year. In a nation of 38 million, that’s a little over 10 litres per person of legal age.

 

Booze Battle

Vodka was late in leaving Eastern Europe and Northern Europe: the vodka phenomenon spread like wildfire across the Western world, first entering the massive American market in the 1940s, through the astute marketing of the once Russian, now British-owned Smirnoff brand. As a colourless and odorless drink (advertised by Smirnoff as 'White Whiskey – No taste. No smell’), vodka first became popular for its neutral flavour and good mixer properties, playing well with virtually every available alcohol and juice. By the 60s and 70s the Western vodka-drinking culture, led by the ever-increasing cocktail craze, fueled the demand for affordable, medium- to low-quality, vodka brands.

 

Jumping on the lucrative bandwagon, liquor producing companies across Europe began flooding the market with new varieties of tasteless, mediocre vodkas. This commercialisation of the spirit inevitably led to the so-called ’European Vodka Wars’ of 2006, in which traditional vodka-making countries – such as Poland, Russia, Ukraine, Finland, Sweden, Estonia, Lithuania and Estonia – requested that the European Union to make a clear-cut definition of which hard liquors could actually be called 'vodka’. These 'vodka purist’ nations wanted a definition that would limit the 'vodka’ brand to an 'alcoholic beverage derived from cereals or potatoes’, while the 'vodka liberalisers’ (a group that included France, Austria, Great Britain and the Netherlands) fought for a more liberal definition, which took in ingredients such as beets, grapes, citrus fruits and molasses. A serious blow to vodka purists, the EU ruling stated that vodka can be made from any ingredient, as long as the bottle clearly labels all elements used.

 

Pure and Powerful

Not to be left behind or threatened by the ever-growing vodka market, established Polish favourites such as Belvedere, Chopin and Wyborowa made the conscious decision to redefine their local and international images as authentic, elegant and luxurious brands with an age-old heritage; their aim was to not be confused with brands they thought of as cheap vodka imitators – they determined to be seen as the 'real thing’. Entering the American market in 1996, Millenium Import LLC introduced Belvedere rye vodka as a premium luxury product (costing twice as much as other upmarket brands), which created a new standard of sophistication and excellence in the luxury vodka segment. The next year, Belvedere’s success was followed by the introduction of Polmos Siedlce’s potatoe-based Chopin vodka, that captured the essence and spirit of renowned Polish composer Frederic Chopin. Both Belvedere and Chopin vodkas are distilled four times to remove all impurities and are praised for their complex taste and texture, individual smoothness and sleek, frosted packaging. By showing the spirit’s stylish and swankier side, these brands not only spearheaded the premium vodka category (the fastest growing segment of the hard liquor market), but also reestablished the prestige of Polish vodkas.

Another Polish brand focused on changing the 'lowbrow’ reputation of Polish vodkas is Wyborowa (literally 'exquisite’), a pure single-ingredient vodka, distilled from the rye grain grown in the small Polish village of Turew. The brand’s latest Europe-wide advertisement campaign highlights the spirit’s Polish origins, declaring that “the facts are incrontroWertible. The authentic vodka comes from Poland and is called Wodka. There is no V in Wodka. May the truth preWail!”. The advertisements’ cheeky, finger-pointing style compliments the brand’s playful taste profile, one that is well-rounded but still extremely smooth, strong but not overpowering. Wyborowa is also leading the rapidly expanding flavoured vodka segments, turning out upscale infusions boasting flavours such as pineapple, rose, almond, peach, orange and apple.
Other brands meeting the highest super-premium standards include the quadruple distilled Sobieski Vodka (named after Polish King Jan III Sobieksi), the cereal-based Królewska Vodka (produced by hulking distillers, Polmos Zielona Gora) and the luxury potato-based Luksusowa Vodka.
 
 
 
 

Neat or Naughty

Traditionally, the most enjoyable way to drink vodka is neat and chilled, chasing the shot with sour cucumbers, salty herring, or pickled mushrooms. It can be both a potent aperitif and a helpful digestive, or just a soul-warming drink when the cold is biting and the days are long. But in the past two decades, the changing tastes and preferences of Polish consumers – triggered by the bar and cocktail culture increasingly attracting a younger, female audience – have pushed Polish producers to tone down the 'hard liquor’ image by introducing new concepts such as fruit-flavoured vodkas and pre-mixed drinks such as Bacardi Breezer and Smirnoff Ice. As cocktail artistry and culture become more and more mainstream in Poland’s urban centers, bar and restaurant owners throughout the country are eager to cash in on the trend by experimenting with creative vodka-based concoctions. But, with the vodka competition heating up and modern distilling methods developing and improving both the quality and style of vodkas, Polish producers are hard-pressed to show new ways of connecting with the ever-widening crowds of vodka enthusiast and connoisseurs.

 
Familiarise yourself with some of Poland’s best vodkas, all of which are available in the UK. Grab a Pole and ask them about the role of vodka at Polish weddings: it’s quite an education!
 

 

 
 
Sobieski

A highbrow brand catering to mainstream drinkers, Sobieski vodka blends authenticity with modernity and proves that vodka can indeed be sophisticated. This delicate vodka is made from golden Dankowski rye grains in the Mazowse fields located around the central part of Poland. As are most Polish vodkas, it’s best consumed straight out of the freezer, but its softness and subtlety is an ideal cocktail base for drinkers with a more sensitive palate.

 
Goldwasser

This stalwart of the vodka community, distilled in the Baltic seaside city of Gdańsk since the 16th century, raises eyebrows at first sight, as twenty-three carat gold flakes float inside the potent liquor. The spirit was created by Dutch immigrant Ambrose Vermollen by combining over twenty herbs and roots (including cinnamon, lavender, cardamom and thyme) and laced it with golden lucky-charm leaves. Enjoy this elixir neat, or on the rocks.

 
Żubrówka

Arguably Poland’s most-loved and most flavourful vodka brand, Żubrówka is a genuine rye-based vodka specialty, infused with a blade of Bison Grass grown in the country’s eastern Białowieża Forest. Consumed straight up, its delicate aroma and herbal flavour warms the cockles of the heart on a grey, dull day. A tongue that would like to venture into a variety can also mix one part Żubrówka and two parts ice-cold apple juice to create 'Tatanka’ (apple pie), a deceptively strong concoction.

 
Wyborowa

Ordering up a shot of Wyborowa vodka (’exquisite’ vodka) is a sure-fire way to impress the pants off that certain Polish someone or seal the deal with an important business partner. Clear as a mountain stream, this quadruple distilled tipple has an exceptionally fresh and smooth taste that reflects its well-honed 200-year-old heritage. Wyborowa is relished in communion with cocktails like the Cosmopolitan, Long Island Ice Tea, Black Russian, Screwdriver and a variety of martinis.

 
 
Text by Anna J. Kutor


The recent U.S. intelligence leak threatens the Ukrainian planned spring offensive

In March, the leak of secret U.S. documents directly linked to national security raised public interest. The leaked documents concerned U.S. intelligence towards U.S. allies, analysis related to China or top-secret information about U.S. involvement in the Ukraine affair. On April 13, Authorities identified Jack Teixeira, a Massachusetts Air National Guard member, as a person responsible for leaking classified documents over Discord. He has been arrested by the FBI in Massachusetts the same day afternoon. 

The practise of U.S. spying allies such as Germany, Israel, or South Korea, is widely known and was described in detail in the documents leaked by Edward Snowden. The current leak confirms U.S. intelligence practices from long ago. However, the leak related to Ukraine is far more significant to national security. The debate has been sparked by a leak linked to the Ukrainian planned spring offensive. 

The debate has been sparked by a leak linked to the Ukrainian planned spring offensive. Despite the lack of sensitive information on planned battles, the material confirms that reported Ukrainian casualties may be higher than the official position of Ukrainian authorities. In addition, the document questioned Ukraine’s; "ability to provide medium-range air defence to protect the frontlines will be completely reduced by May 23. Ukraine assessed to withstand 2-3 more wave strikes from attacking Russian missiles and drones”. Furthermore, the documents also include information connected with U.S. and NATO training and assistance with air defence status, battalion sizes and combat readiness. 

In addition, the documents unsurprisingly include analyses of China. Interestingly, there is a mention of the red line drawn by Bejing in the scenario of a Ukrainian attack using Nato weapons on targets in the Russian Federation.

The recent arrest of Jack Teixeira paves the way for the prosecution of more people involved in the American leak of more than 100 top-secret documents, which took place via the Discord platform. As a Brandon Van Grack, a former Justice Department national security prosecutor said, "The likely charges could carry up to 10 years' imprisonment, even if Teixeira did not intend to cause harm".  Analysing the history of the leaked documents, it is possible to indicate that they may have already been on the web since December 2022. The interesting question remains: why did the U.S. authorities take so long to track down the perpetrator?

Author:

Szymon Polewka is a student of international relations at the Jagiellonian University in Kraków, specializing in the history of international relations, the Eurasian region, DACHL countries, intercultural relations, and the energy sector. He is currently on a scholarship at the University of Bremen. He has gained experience organizing the 2020 Economic Forum in Karpacz and numerous youth and student associations, such as AIESEC or Koło Naukowe Wyzwań Zielonego Ładu.

This article was written as part of the statutory activities of the Polish think tank Warsaw Institute. If you appreciate the content prepared by our partner, we appeal to you for financial support for this non-profit organisation.

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Rivals Launch Their Taiwan Drills

The Philippines and the U.S. began on Tuesday their joint military exercises codenamed Balikatan 2023, just a day after China wrapped up its three-day exercise near Taiwan. The U.S.-Philippine drills will run up to April 28.

The Chinese drills, which simulated strikes on Taiwan and were carried out three days of military exercises near the island, came in response to President Tsai Ing-wen’s Thursday meeting with U.S. House speaker Kevin McCarthy. The drills resembled those launched in retaliation to a Taipei visit by McCarthy’s predecessor, Nancy Pelosi, back in August. On Saturday, eight warships and 42 planes were detected near Taiwan, 29 of which crossed the middle line of the strait that separates the island from the mainland.

“We will never leave room for ‘Taiwan independence’ separatist activities in any form and will definitely take resolute measures to defeat any foreign interference,” the Chinese army informed after the drills wrapped up. China claims Taiwan as its territory, and has repeatedly warned other states against taking the island by force. The drills had been characterized by China as “a serious warning against the Taiwan independence separatist forces’ collusion and provocation with external forces."

In response to the Chinese drills, the United States and the Philippines began their largest combat exercises in decades in waters across the South China Sea and the Taiwan Strait, a move that is likely to inflame Beijing. The annual drills by the longtime treaty allies called Balikatan (Tagalog for shoulder-to-shoulder) will run up to April 28 and involve more than 17,600 military personnel. The major events will include command post, cyber defense, field exercises, and humanitarian civic assistance in the event of natural disasters, as well as live-fire exercises and a boat-sinking rocket assault. America's warships, fighter jets as well as Patriot missiles, Himars rocket launchers, fighter jets, and ships will be showcased in what is the latest display of American firepower in Asia. Washington has repeatedly warned China about its increasingly aggressive actions in the disputed sea channel and against Taiwan. “We are not provoking anybody by simply exercising,” Colonel Michael Logico, a Philippine spokesperson for Balikatan, told reporters. “This is actually a form of deterrence,” Logico said. “Deterrence is when we are discouraging other parties from invading us.”

Author:

Dawid Krupa is a fourth-year law student at the Faculty of Law and Administration at Warsaw University. He has worked with various cultural institutions such as the POLIN Museum of the History of Polish Jews, the Warsaw Uprising Museum and the Forum for Dialogue Foundation. His interests include national politics, international relations, religious studies and gardening.

This article was written as part of the statutory activities of the Polish think tank Warsaw Institute. If you appreciate the content prepared by our partner, we appeal to you for financial support for this non-profit organisation.

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A MONTH AFTER THE COLLAPSE OF SILICON VALLEY BANK, THE U. S. BANKING SYSTEM IS STILL WORKING

The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank has raised fears of a recurrence of the 2008 financial crisis. Fear of the next global recession was further compounded by the unhealed wounds associated with the coronavirus pandemic and the ongoing war in Ukraine. However, after almost a month since the collapse of SVB, it can be concluded that this time the U. S. financial system has dealt with the March tide of failures of three U. S. banks.

On March 10, 2023, after a bank run, Silicon Valley Bank failed, marking the largest bank failure since 2008. The bank possessed 17 branches, $200 billion in total assets, $180 billion in total deposits, and $70 billion in loans. Most analysts connect the collapse with an extensive bond portfolio caused by higher interest rates. The obstacle appeared after purchasing billions of dollars of longer-maturity treasury and other securities in 2020 and 2021. The Fed's increased interest rate in 2022 and early 2023 has led the bank to losses. However, for a complete understanding of the situation, it is worth mentioning that the bank operated almost entirely in the tech sector, particularly in early venture capital-dependent companies, including cryptocurrency.

Read more: Russia Plans to Station Tactical Nuclear Weapons in Belarus

The collapse of the SVB was preceded by the announcement, that relatively small Silvergate Bank, which specialise in serving cryptocurrency industry is planning to wind down its operations and liquidate. Following the failure of SVB Signature Bank, which also operated among crypto companies, was close, undermining an already strained cryptocurrency system. The chain reaction of bank collapses has raised concerns among owners of accounts that exceeded the FDIC insurance maximum of $250,000. 

The March banking collapse raises questions about the banking system's health, which experienced major turbulence after 2008. Moreover, SVB and mentioned banks are large enough for their failure to threaten the functioning of the financial system. SVB was a primary example of a "monoline bank" focused on one "innovative" economy sector. The problem is that IT and cryptocurrency currently are not so innovative anymore.

For a better understanding, quoting the name Silicon Valley Bank,  "Silicon Valley" here is meant to refer to one of the pillars of the global economy, which is Silicon Valley. However, in recent years, Silicon Valley has lost its monopoly status in global IT innovation to regions such as China's Zhongguancun or Shenzen. Therefore, the potential processes underway in California are cushioned by other regions chasing it in the global race for innovation.

Author:

Szymon Polewka is a student of international relations at the Jagiellonian University in Kraków, specializing in the history of international relations, the Eurasian region, DACHL countries, intercultural relations, and the energy sector. He is currently on a scholarship at the University of Bremen. He has gained experience organizing the 2020 Economic Forum in Karpacz and numerous youth and student associations, such as AIESEC or Koło Naukowe Wyzwań Zielonego Ładu.

This article was written as part of the statutory activities of the Polish think tank Warsaw Institute. If you appreciate the content prepared by our partner, we appeal to you for financial support for this non-profit organisation.

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How to Turn Online Matches into Real-Life Dates

collaborative post
 

Dating apps and sites have become hugely popular in recent years, with a growing number of people now using them to find love. The good thing about dating online is that you can browse thousands of potential profiles and easily search for the kind of people who would be the best fit for you. It makes dating far more convenient and a lot simpler. However, it does come with one problem.

Many people who start dating online find it difficult to progress and arrange a real-life date. The ultimate goal of any time spent on a dating service should be to arrange to meet your matches in real life, where you can begin dating them for real. This can be difficult for some people, though, with many people struggling to find the right words.

If you’ve ever found it a challenge to meet people in real-life from free dating sites, you’re not alone. In this article, we’ll explain everything you need to know to turn your matches into real dates and hopefully find true love. 

Create a Good Profile

The first step to success in online dating is to put effort into making your profile. You should aim to have at least three pictures of yourself, with each photo nice and clear. If you don’t have many photos, get a friend to take some of you, and make sure that you have some variety in terms of the clothes you’re wearing and the setting of the photos.

Aside from your pictures, you should also make sure you fill in the bio and interests, as this will help you find matches who share your hobbies and interests. Not only that, but it gives your matches something to talk to you about. If your profile is completely blank, you might think it looks mysterious and intriguing. However, you’re going to find it much harder to make a connection with your matches.

Be Interesting

This is easier said than done, especially when it comes to sending texts. Texting can be difficult, as it doesn’t allow for the expression of emotion, and texts can often be interpreted in different ways. However, you should always put effort into your messages to ensure that they’re unique and interesting. Single-word messages are more likely to be ignored and will ensure you don’t get very far.

Make sure you craft a unique opening message for each match, basing your text on their profile if possible. Being interesting will help you get a response, and sending good messages also helps you get to know your match better. Ask them about their hobbies, compliment their picture, or something similar.

Make Plans Soon

While you shouldn’t move things too fast, it’s important to make plans once you’ve started the conversation flowing. Build a bit of a connection first with some back-and-forth messaging, gauging the person’s interests based on the frequency and enthusiasm of their responses. Remember to keep things respectful, and ensure that you maintain interest with some witty banter if possible.

When making a plan for a date, keep things casual at first. Arrange something based on your mutual interests, or simply plan a coffee date where you can meet up and chat without any expectations. It’s better that way, as then there are no big time commitments, and it gives you a chance to see if you really match, where you can then plan your next date.

Choose a Time and Place

When planning your first meet-up, make sure it’s not too far off, as you want it to be sooner rather than later. It’s also a good idea to choose somewhere public, as this way you can both be comfortable meeting for the first time.

Finally, you shouldn’t ask, “do you want to meet up sometime?”. Instead, it’s better to ask them if they want to meet on a particular date. Being specific sounds more confident, and it helps to avoid any haggling over the time and date. Of course, you may still need to rearrange if they’re busy on that day, but it’s good to be specific.

Russia Plans to Station Tactical Nuclear Weapons in Belarus

Russian President Vladimir Putin and other Russian officials have invoked the use of nuclear weapons more than once since the outbreak of the war in Ukraine. Putin recently said that Russia has struck a deal with neighboring Belarus to station tactical nuclear weapons on its territory. Russia plans to station tactical nuclear weapons in neighboring Belarus, President Vladimir Putin told Saturday state broadcaster Rossiya 24.

During the interview, Putin said Russia had planned to station tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus, including 10 aircraft converted to make them capable of carrying tactical nuclear warheads. Russian president says deal struck with Belarusian counterpart would not violate nuclear nonproliferation agreements. "There is nothing unusual here either: firstly, the United States has been doing this for decades. They have long deployed their tactical nuclear weapons on the territory of their allied countries," Putin told state television. Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko has long been raising the question of the deployment of Russian tactical nuclear weapons on the territory of Belarus, the Russian leader was cited as saying.

Moscow has been ominously threatening to use nuclear weapons in the war against Ukraine, also to intimidate the country's Western allies. Former Russian president Dmitry Medvedev, who is deputy chair of the Russian Security Council, further warned that Moscow was ready to use “absolutely any weapon” if Ukraine attempted to retake the Crimean peninsula. In addition, the secretary of Russia's Security Council, Nikolai Patrushev, said that NATO countries are a party to the conflict in Ukraine as they send weapons and ammunition to the Ukrainian troops, according to excerpts from an interview with Russian government newspaper Rossiyskaya Gazeta. He added Russia could destroy any enemy, including the United States. According to Patrushev, Russia would only use nuclear weapons if its very existence were threatened––even if its enemy refrained from deploying such weapons.

The U.S. Department of Defense said in a statement that though the U.S. will continue to monitor the situation, Washington has seen nothing that would cause us to change our deterrent posture. The U.S. Department of Defense also said there were no indications that Russia was preparing to use nuclear weapons, adding the United States remained committed to safeguarding the whole NATO alliance.

Moreover, the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons (ICAN) called Putin's announcement an extremely dangerous escalation. “As long as President Putin has nuclear weapons, Europe cannot be safe,” ICAN's interim executive director Daniel Hoegsta said in a statement.

Author:

Dawid Krupa is a fourth-year law student at the Faculty of Law and Administration at Warsaw University. He has worked with various cultural institutions such as the POLIN Museum of the History of Polish Jews, the Warsaw Uprising Museum and the Forum for Dialogue Foundation. His interests include national politics, international relations, religious studies and gardening.

This article was written as part of the statutory activities of the Polish think tank Warsaw Institute. If you appreciate the content prepared by our partner, we appeal to you for financial support for this non-profit organisation.

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